Sunday, March 9, 2008

Don't call it a comeback!

So Hillary won Texas and Ohio. Much of the media, and Hillary herself, is calling this a comeback and a sign that her campaign is revitalized. But there is something I am confused about.

She was up by 20 points in Texas 3 weeks ago. She was also up by 20 points in Ohio a few weeks ago. So she was a shoo-in for a victory in each state. yet she only won by 3 and 12 points respectively.

I am not sure how you can call it a come back when everyone expected you to win in the first place. In fact, I see it as a loss since her 20 point lead in Texas was only 3 by the time that the election came. And, as it turns out, Obama earned one more delegate than she did because Texas also holds a caucus, which he won handily. Obviously she won big in Ohio, but still not by nearly as much as the polls had shown a few weeks ago.

If anyone had a comeback here, it is Obama. He was polling as behind by 20 points in each and within 2 weeks he knocked 17 points off that in Texas and 8 points off that in Ohio. At the end of the day he maintained his pledged delegate advantage. Considering the hole he was in, I'd say his performance in those primaries is much more impressive.

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